Decision Analysis for Natural Resources Management
Sources of Information
2. Overview of Decision Analysis Context
a) Starfield, A. M. 1997. A Pragmatic Approach to Modeling for Wildlife Management. J. Wildl. Manage. 61(2):261-270.
3. Decision Analysis Basics
a) Gregory, R., T. McDaniels, and D. Fields. 2001. Decision aiding, not dispute resolution: Creating insights through structured environmental decisions. J. of Policy Analysis and Management 20: 415-432.
4. Multi-Objective Decision Analysis
a) Hammond , J.S., R. L. Keeney, and H. Raiffa. 2002. Smart Choices: a practical guide to making better life decisions. Broadway Books, NY. 242 pp.
b) Merkhofer, M.W., R. Conway, R.G. Anderson. 1997. Multiattribute Utility Analysis as a Framework for Public Participation in Siting a Hazardous Waste Management Facility. Environ. Man. Vol. 21 (6): 831-839.
c) Maguire, L.A. 2004. What can Decision Analysis do for Invasive Species Management? Risk Analysis, Vol. 24 (4): 859-868.
5. Experts, Expertise & Judgement
a ) Gregory, R. and R. Keeney. 2002. Making smarter environmental management decisions. J. of the American Water Resources Association 38:1601-1612.
b) Keeney, R. 2002. Common mistakes in making value trade-offs. Operations Research 50: 935-945.
c) Slovic, P. 1999. Trust, emotion, sex, politics and science: Surveying the risk-assessment battlefield. Risk Analysis 19: 689-701.
6. Attitudes about Risk
a ) Maguire, L.A and E.A. Albright. 2005. Can behavioral decision theory explain risk averse fire management decisions? Forest Ecology and Management 211:47-58.
7. Scientific Risk Analysis & Management
a) Burgman, M. 2005. Risks and Decisions for Conservation and Environmental Management. Cambridge Univ. Press , UK . 488 pp.
a) Starfield, A.M., J.D. Roth, and K. Ralls. 1995. “Mobbing” in Hawaiian Monk Seals (Monachus schauinslani): The Value of Simulation Modeling in the Absence of Apparently Crucial Data. Conservation Biology 9:166-174.
9. Management-Science Interface
a ) Ralls, K. and A.M. Starfield. 1995. Choosing a Management Strategy: Two Structured Decision-making Methods for Evaluating the Predictions of Stochastic Simulation Models. Conservation Biology 9: 175-181.
b) Gregory, R., L. Failing, D. Ohlson, and T. McDaniels. In Press. Some pitfalls of an Overemphasis on Science in Environmental Risk Management Decisions. J. Risk Research.
10. Decision Analysis and Adaptive Management
a) Walters, C.J. and C.S. Holling. 1990. Large-scale management experiments and learning by doing. Ecology 71(6):2060-2068.
b) McDaniels T.L. and R. Gregory. 2004. Learning as an objective within a structured risk management decision process. Environmental Science & Technology 38(7):1921-1926.
c) Linkov, I., F.K. Satterstrom, G.A. Kikier, T.S. Bridges , S.L. Benjamin, and D.A. Belluck. 2006. From optimization to adaptation: shifting paradigms in environmental management and their application to remedial decisions. Integrated Environmental Assessment and Management 2(1):92-98.
d) Parkes J.P., A. Robley, D.M. Forsyth, and D. Choquenot. 2006. Adaptive management experiments in vertebrate pest control in New Zealand and Australia. Wildlife Society Bulletin 34(1):229-236.
e) Gunderson L. 1999. Resilience, flexibility and adaptive management-- antidotes for spurious certitude? Conservation Ecology 3(1). (11 pages)
f) Gregory R, D. Ohlson, and J. Arvai. In press. Deconstructing adaptive management: criteria for applications to environmental management. Ecological Applications.