Principles of Modeling for Conservation Planning and Analysis ECS3149
Pre-Course Material
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General Modeling - Population Models - Ecosystem (Frame) Model
Spatial Models - Expert Systems and Qualitative Models - Linear Programming and Optimization
Decision Making Under Uncertainty
General Modeling
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Beres, D.L., C.W. Clark, G.L. Swartzman, A.M. Starfield. 2001. Research Notes: Truth in
Modeling. Natural Resource Modeling
14 (3): 457-463.
Daellenbach, H.G. 1994. Methodology Alternative
OR. OR/MS Today. Dec. 1994: 44-49.
Gregory,
R., R. Keeney, and D.von Winterfeldt. 1992. Adapting the Environmental
Impact Statement Process to Inform Decisionmakers. Policy Analysis and
Management, Vol. 11, No. 1,58-75.
Hollings, C.S. 1996. Surprise for
science, resilience for ecosystems and incentives for people. Ecological Applications 6(3):733-5.
Kettenring, K.M., B.T. Martinez, A.M. Starfield, and W.M. Getz 2006. Good Practices for Sharing Ecological Models. BioScience 56 (1): 59-64
Nicolson, C.R., A.M. Starfield, G.P. Kofinas, and J.A. Kruse. 2002. Ten Heuristics for Interdisciplinary Modeling Projects. Ecosystems 5:376-384.
Onal, H. 2003. First-best, Second best, and Heuristic solutions in Conservation Reserve Site Selection. Biol. Cons. 115:55-62.
Oreskes, N., K. Shrader-Frechette and K. Belitz. 1994. Verification, Validation and Confirmation of Numerical Models in the Earth Sciences. Science 263: 641-646.
Phillips, Lawrence D. and Maryann C. Phillips. 1993. Facilitated Work Groups: Theory and Practice. Journal Operational Research Society, Vol. 44, No. 6, pp. 533-549.
Starfield, A.M. 1997. A Pragmatic Approach to Modeling for Wildlife Management. Journal of Wildlife Management 61:166-174.
S . Polasky, E. Nelson, E. Lonsdorf, P. Fackler, and A.M. Starfield. 2005. Conserving species in a working landscape: land use with biological and economic objectives. Ecological Applications: Vol. 15, No. 4, pp. 1387-1
Kettenring, K.M., B.T. Martinez, A.M. Starfield, and W.M. Getz 2006. Good Practices for Sharing Ecological Models. BioScience 56 (1): 59-64
Nicolson, C.R., A.M. Starfield, G.P. Kofinas, and J.A. Kruse. 2002. Ten Heuristics for Interdisciplinary Modeling Projects. Ecosystems 5:376-384.
Onal, H. 2003. First-best, Second best, and Heuristic solutions in Conservation Reserve Site Selection. Biol. Cons. 115:55-62.
Oreskes, N., K. Shrader-Frechette and K. Belitz. 1994. Verification, Validation and Confirmation of Numerical Models in the Earth Sciences. Science 263: 641-646.
Phillips, Lawrence D. and Maryann C. Phillips. 1993. Facilitated Work Groups: Theory and Practice. Journal Operational Research Society, Vol. 44, No. 6, pp. 533-549.
Starfield, A.M. 1997. A Pragmatic Approach to Modeling for Wildlife Management. Journal of Wildlife Management 61:166-174.
S . Polasky, E. Nelson, E. Lonsdorf, P. Fackler, and A.M. Starfield. 2005. Conserving species in a working landscape: land use with biological and economic objectives. Ecological Applications: Vol. 15, No. 4, pp. 1387-1
Population Models
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Haight,
R.G., B. Cypher, P.A. Kelly, S. Phillips, H.P. Possingham, K. Ralls, A.M.
Starfield, P.J. White, and D. Williams. 2002. Optimizing Habitat
Protection Using Demographic Models of Population Viability. Conservation Biology, 16(5): 1386-1397.
McCarthy, M.A., S. J. Andelman, and H.P. Possingham. 2003. Reliability of Relative Predictions in Population Viability Analysis. Conservation Biology, 17(4): 982-989.
Whitman, K, A.M. Starfield. H.S. Quadling, and C. Packer. 2004 Sustainable Trophy Hunting of African Lions. Nature 428: 175-178.
Starfield, A. M., J. D. Roth and K. Ralls. 1995. "Mobbing" in Hawaiian Monk Seals: The Value of Conservation Biology 9(1): 166-174.
McCarthy, M.A., S. J. Andelman, and H.P. Possingham. 2003. Reliability of Relative Predictions in Population Viability Analysis. Conservation Biology, 17(4): 982-989.
Whitman, K, A.M. Starfield. H.S. Quadling, and C. Packer. 2004 Sustainable Trophy Hunting of African Lions. Nature 428: 175-178.
Starfield, A. M., J. D. Roth and K. Ralls. 1995. "Mobbing" in Hawaiian Monk Seals: The Value of Conservation Biology 9(1): 166-174.
Ecosystem (Frame) Models
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Starfield,
A. M. and F. S. Chapin. 1996. Model of Transient Changes in Arctic and
Boreal Vegetation in Response to Climate and Land Use Change. Ecological Applications 6(3): 842-864.
Starfield, A. M., D. H. M. Cumming, R. D. Taylor and M. S. Quadling. 1993. A Frame-Based Paradigm for Dynamic Ecosystem M odels. AI Applications 7 No. 2&3: 1-13.
Tester, J. R., A. M. Starfield and L. E. Frelich. 1997. Modeling for Ecosystem Management in Minnesota Pine Forests. Biological Conservation 80: 313-324.
Starfield, A. M., D. H. M. Cumming, R. D. Taylor and M. S. Quadling. 1993. A Frame-Based Paradigm for Dynamic Ecosystem M odels. AI Applications 7 No. 2&3: 1-13.
Tester, J. R., A. M. Starfield and L. E. Frelich. 1997. Modeling for Ecosystem Management in Minnesota Pine Forests. Biological Conservation 80: 313-324.
Spatial Models
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Beukema, S., J. Merzenich, and S.
Schilling. No date. TELSA: A Strategic Planning Tool for Ecosystem Management. Unpublished manuscript.
Cale, W. G., G. M. Henebry and J. A. Yeakley. 1989. Inferring Process from Pattern in Natural Communities. BioScience 39: 600-605.
Rupp, T. S., F. S Chapin III., A. M. Starfield. 2000. Response of Subarctic Vegetation to Transient Climatic Change on the Seward Peninsula in Northwest Alaska. Global Change Biology. 6:541-555.
Rupp, T. S., A. M. Starfield and F. S.Chapin III. 2000. A Frame-Based Spatially Explicit Model of Subarctic Vegetation Response to Climatic Change: Comparison with a Point Model. Landscape Ecology 15, no. 4: 383-400.
Cale, W. G., G. M. Henebry and J. A. Yeakley. 1989. Inferring Process from Pattern in Natural Communities. BioScience 39: 600-605.
Rupp, T. S., F. S Chapin III., A. M. Starfield. 2000. Response of Subarctic Vegetation to Transient Climatic Change on the Seward Peninsula in Northwest Alaska. Global Change Biology. 6:541-555.
Rupp, T. S., A. M. Starfield and F. S.Chapin III. 2000. A Frame-Based Spatially Explicit Model of Subarctic Vegetation Response to Climatic Change: Comparison with a Point Model. Landscape Ecology 15, no. 4: 383-400.
Expert System and Qualitative Models
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Noble, I. R. 1987. The Role of Expert Systems in Vegetation Science. Vegetation 69: 115-121.
Starfield, A. M. 1990. Qualitative, Rule-Based Modeling. BioScience 40: 601-604.
Starfield, A. M., B. P. Farm and R. H. Taylor. 1989. A Rule-Based Ecological Model for the Management of an Estuarine Lake. Ecological Modeling 46: 107-119.
Starfield, A. M. 1990. Qualitative, Rule-Based Modeling. BioScience 40: 601-604.
Starfield, A. M., B. P. Farm and R. H. Taylor. 1989. A Rule-Based Ecological Model for the Management of an Estuarine Lake. Ecological Modeling 46: 107-119.
Linear Programming and Optimization
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Decision Making Under Uncertainty
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Stewart, T.
J. 1992. A Critical Survey of the Status of Multiple Criteria Decision
Making Theory and Practice. Omega 20: 569-586.
Westphal, M. I., M. Pickett, W.
M. Getz, and H.P. Possingham. 2003. The use of Stochastic
Dynamic Programming in Optimal Landscape Reconstruction for Metapopulations. Ecological Applications 13(2): 543-555.
Wilson, S. 2005. Elephant explosion triggers cull row. BBC News, November 6, 2005.
Last updated:
November 12, 2010
